Posted by
Marc T. on Thursday, February 04, 2010 1:27:26 AM
If you would have told me last year that
the Republicans have a good shot to win back the House of
Representatives and/or the Senate after what we saw in 2006 and 2008,
I would have called you crazy. In both elections the Democrats wiped
the floor with the Republicans winning back both chambers and the
Presidency. They were riding the wave of Obama and his vows of “hope
and change.” Now its 2010 and what a 180 degree swing have we seen
with huge Republican victories in heavily blue state of New Jersey
and Massachusetts where the Democrats did everything in their power
to win. I makes me wonder why did the Republicans lost the last two
election cycles. More and more each day I believe that a lot of it
was because of the anti-Bush resentment of Americans (shown in low
approval ratings) and the Republican party moving away from their
core beliefs. Now with the emergence of the tea parties and the
Obama administration's persistence on pushing through major health
care reform, bad stimulus packages and their socialistic agenda when
it comes to corporations especially banks, Americans are scared. You
would think that President Obama and congress would move more to the
center right where most liberal Presidents move too (look at Bill
Clinton) but he hasn't wavered from his agenda, just regrouping.
This growing revolution will happen all
over the country, where there will be not as many safe seats. There
will be many long serving congressmen losing including majority
leader of the Senate Harry Reid in November. If he does lose, Reid
will be the highest ranking congressman to lose since Tom Foli who
was Speaker of the House in 1994. This up-swell hopefully holds
true in my home state of Wisconsin. We can see close battles for two
of our long serving Democratic congressmen, Ron Kind and David Obey,
even though they should win in the end but they will have to work for
it. My focus here is on Senator Russ Feingold. He has held the seat
since 1992 winning a very dirty election. Russ stayed away from all
the mudslinging with his hokey ads protraying himself as as
Washington outsider. He has won re-election twice, albeit by small
margins against underfunded weaker candidates. If rumors are true
,this time around he will have stiffer competition in our former
governor and Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy Thompson.
He still is extremely popular, has name recognition and will be able
to raise the money to compete dollar for dollar. As a candidate,
he's about 60-70% of what I am looking for, which is much higher than
Russ Feingold. Although he had reformed welfare in the state, which
was used as a template for other states, he liked to spend and tax to
make sure Wisconsin had the “Cadillac” of services. He needs to
run as a reformer and listen to the tea parties which have a strong
following in the state. We don't need another Rino (Republican in
name only).
Well, I won't be making any guarantees
this time but it looks like unless President Obama and congress
reverses their course on several fronts, it would be every
interesting watching the second Tuesday of November and the spin
afterward. This time they don't have President Bush to blame, but
they might find a way to spin it anyway.