Well, we are less than a week away from the most important election in our lifetime.  While I have guaranteed a Republican victory over a year ago with several reasons backing up my claim a few things have changed since then.  The biggest being the steep economic downturn, which hurts the party in the White House.  So, I am a little worried about the outcome.  As it stands now, it does look like an Obama victory but I think its going to be closer than all the polls and the liberal pundits make it out to be.  There is no way Obama will get 50% of the vote, the electorate is not made up that way.  I believe that many Democrats will stay home because they feel like an Obama victory is a slam dunk and Barack doesn't need their vote.  I also believe that there will be a ground swell of paniced Republicans out there, that will get out and vote to prevent the Democrats having control of the White House and congress.  There are alot of independants and affliated party members have the same concern of one party in control, so they vote for a split.  They have to vote for a Republican this time because there is no way that the Democrats will lose either chamber of congress.  I can't be faithful with myself if I don't bring up the "Bradley Effect"  I know that the pundits on either side likes to bring up this subject, but I am a realist and there will be a slight effect that will swing a few close elections especially in swing states McCain's way.    These senarios along with my cynisim of the polls makes me belive that this will be an election that will go long into the night.

 

On November it will come down to what states can a candidate steal from the 2004 election.  Can Ohio, Florida and Virginia stay red and can Pennslyvania swing in McCain's favor.  It will be a very interesting night and I will be up with my popcorn all night.  No matter what the outcome is I believe I am in a no lose situation.  If McCain wins, I get the candidate I want (albeit not the perfect candidate, I wanted Romney) and if Obama wins I can sit back and say "I told you so" when all of his liberal policies start making their way through the Pelosi and Reid controlled congress.  All I will say to people who compain is "Don't blame it on me I voted McCain/Palin)