Posted by
Marc T. on Thursday, October 16, 2008 12:49:51 AM
Well the stage is set and at the end of the debate its all up to the voters to decide who will be the next president of the United States of America. Although the two candiates will be traveling around toss up states to shore up their respective bases, unless something major news about the economy or national security or a major blunder by one of the canidates, a huge majority of the voting public has already made up their mind on which candidate they will be voting for November 4th. Even the so called "undecided" voters in the back of their mind know who their candidate is and it would take a major even to sway their mind.
In the third debate tonight, John McCain needed to hit a home run. While he did speak the line of all three debates telling if Obama if he wanted to run against George W. Bush he should have done it four years ago, I don't feel that he got the job done. He had more fire in his belly but couldn't overcome his natural nice personality to really go after Barack Obama on his policies, decisions he has made in the past and his association with questionable characters. Just as you feel that he had Obama against the ropes on policy, as former Arizona Cardinal Coach Dennis Green puts it "He let them off the hook" but this has been the hallmark of McCain's campaign so far. His handlers wants him to go more negative, McCain wants to take the high road and what we get is an inconsistant message. A confused voting public isn't what John McCain needs in November especially in the economic environment we are living in and trying to succeed an unpopular president from his own party.
Another mistake McCain is constently making is while he admits that economic subjects aren't his speciality, he hasn't hit the books, consulted with the right advisors and grasp the subject to really present a solid and well planned economic agenda. He is still stumbles when he is talking about it and his plan is still not focused to make sense to the majority of the public who still doesn't understand what is going on around them.
So its three weeks to the election and the hard work is done now its all about shaking the most hands for the two candidates. The polls over the last week or two has Obama growing his lead especially in the swing states, making it look on paper the Obama is getting toward the 274 electorial votes he needs to win the White House. Over a year ago I had guaranteed a Republican win and stated numerous reason why. Only last week, was the first time since that I have doubt of that happening. With the ever sinking economy and mistakes from the McCain campaign is making this less likely. Pesonally, I don't believe any of the polls for several reasons, but the bias can only be so big and looking at the electorial map (not the national polls we are constantly seeing)it will take almost everything to swing in McCain's favor to make my prophetcy come true. This election is going to come down to:
If McCain can just hold on to all the major states George W. Bush won- he wins automatically.
If McCain can win Pennsylavania and hold on to Ohio and Flordia, McCain can afford to lose some of the smaller toss up states
But if McCain loses Ohio or Florida, the election is done and we will have President Obama next January.